Clarence Thomas is 76 and is the longest serving member of the Supreme Court having been on the court since 1991. When will he retire? I doubt if he will retire if there is a democrat president and would as soon die on the bench. However, if Trump gets reelected I would not be surprised if he decided to retire. The question would then arise whether Trump would appoint another black to the court. Recall that Thomas succeeded Thurgood Marshall and some – especially on the left – consider it as the blacks’ seat. How about Condoleeza Rice or Tim Scott? If Trump wanted to appoint a sitting judge then there are 11 black federal judges he appointed during his first term. If Trump were to appoint a Latina there is Barbara Logoa who is on the court of appeals of the eleventh circuit and was a justice on the Florida Supreme Court.
Did you see the Georgia Alabama game? It has been called an instant classic. It aged me at least 10 years. Georgia’s overtouted quarterback conspired to keep both teams in the game and at the end managed to underthrow a ball in the end zone to an Alabama defender which ensured an Alabama victory. They may play two more times (SEC championship game – beware of Texas – and in the playoffs). Although I admit I am biased, I think Georgia would win those two games.
A friend pointed out the EV fires caused by Helene. I once wondered if it were safe to drive an EV through a carwash. It seems that salt water and lithium batteries do not get along. There were 20 EV fires reported due to Hurricane Ian. In advance of Helene, Florida owners were told to get their EVs and golf carts to high ground. Tampa with 40,000 EVs reported at least several EV fires with one destroying an upscale home. A fire department spokesman said that they had received many reports of e-bikes exploding. Although a fire may not immediately result, salt water causes corrosion and the chemical reaction that causes the fire could occur weeks later. I would not want that time bomb sitting in my garage.
How do panhandlers get to their corners? The only time I give one money is if they have a dog with them. Have you noticed that regardless of how the beggar looks, the dog is always healthy and happy? I knew a guy who always carried cans of dog food in his vehicle. He would give the beggar a can for his dog. If the beggar didn’t accept the dog food graciously, he would drive off. If the beggar was genuinely appreciative, he would give him $5.
Do you believe the polls? I don’t. Statistical analysis shows that most polls overestimate the performance of democrat candidates. There are all sorts of lame excuses such as “They undercount voters who did not go to college” or “Republican voters tend to hang up”. Never do they same that their sampling is lousy or that they are biased for the democrat. The polls oversample democrats. I wonder why? Is it that they are trying to discourage republicans from voting by indicating that the democrat is going to win? There is evidence that polls do discourage people from voting. One pollster when asked why his polls were so lousy said, I presume with a straight face, that they were accurate “if you doubled the margin of error”!
But let’s assume that the composite of all polls is correct. If all the states that are thought to be in the republican and democrat columns are correct, then there are only four “tossup” states, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona. How do either Trump or Harris get to 270 Electoral College votes? If Harris wins all the states in which she is a statistical favorite plus Pennsylvania, she wins. If Trump wins all the states in which he is a statistical favorite plus Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia, he wins. So Pennsylvania is the key. I wonder if Harris now regrets not picking Josh Shapiro instead of the statistically useless albatross Tim Walz?
haroldblackphd.com 