My rant – not quite the impact of a presidential one

First I want to say that I support (somewhat) what President Trump has done to close the open border, purge DEI and CRT, scuttle the green new deal and stop the Biden Administration’s attacks on the country’s foundations. I support the deportation of criminals – although I rather lock them away in our prisons. I wholeheartedly support the purging of antisemitism from our educational institutions even if I do not favor some of his methods. I support the deportation of those here on student visas who break the law and who pursue antisemitic activities. I like Trump’s deregulatory bent but I do not like that he is anti-market and his tariffs are anti-small business. I like his ending the funding of PBS, NPR and especially Planned Parenthood. I like his purging of wokeness from the government – even if just for his short time in office. I wish he voiced greater support for alternatives to our government schools and moved to decertify the teachers’ unions. I am glad he is again pursing energy independence. He doesn’t like windmills which is a good thing. I wish he had a more aggressive nuclear agenda. Approve more pipelines. End the silliness with the Canadians and utilize to the fullest their energy sources. Open up the vast Alaskan territories. I am overjoyed that he terminated the CAFÉ fleet milage nonsense and terminated the silly regulatory credits that were helping prop up the EV-only makers. I am glad that he is striving to end the trans agenda in our schools. Yes, he has done much that is positive. But he has done much that is negative as well.

I hope that within my lifetime there will be a president that will strive to make America truly great again. We are an immigrant nation and most of our immigrant ancestors came to America seeking a better future. My African ancestors were the exception: captured, caged, shackled and forced into slavery, they had little choice. But the American dream turned their freed descendants into success stories that would make them proud. Regardless of what the well-heeled naysayers bemoan, America radiates exceptionalism. The relative lack of trade barriers has enriched the country. The freedoms enshrined in our country by the brilliance of the Founding Fathers have allowed us to prosper. 

I have a close friend who always says that republicans have a winning message but they are awful at messaging. That entrepreneurship, opportunity and capitalism not only preached but demonstrated would resonate with Americans not tribalism, xenophobia, state capitalism (American socialism), trade barriers, increasing deficits, industrial policies and all that we have seen from the last two administrations. 

Whatever their differences, Biden and Trump are strikingly similar with regard to pursuing an industrial policy. Both are anti-market armed with government directed industrial policy. Biden’s industrial policy favored the climate scare embodied in the green new deal. Subsidies flowed in that direction. Biden wanted to alter the social fabric of the country with his policies on gender, sex, marriage and abortion. Biden made it a point to try to eradicate anything and everything associated with his predecessor, Donald Trump. Biden turned the country into a banana republic with its persecution of Trump and his allies and with his harassment of conservative organizations, Christian organizations and pro-life groups. He opened our borders and created a crisis of major proportions. Yes, people wanting to make their lives and the lives of their children walked across the border but so did thousands of undesirables. This will disrupt our lives for a generation. Most importantly, Biden and his allies in the teachers’ unions set out to destroy our educational system. Gone were the basic building blocks of education. No more fundamentals. Little Johnny may not know how to read, may not know how to add, may not know geography, may not know civics but he knows Critical Race Theory. He knows gender dysphoria. He thinks that there are 72 genders. Little Johnny may be part of the most intellectually lazy generation of our time.

When Donald Trump was re-elected mainly due to the democrats making him a sympathetic figure, it was payback time. Like Biden before him, Trump set out to eradicate anything and everything associated with Biden. Gone are all of the Biden initiatives and in the place of Biden’s state capitalism picking winners and losers we now have Trump’s state capitalism (American socialism) picking different winners and losers. Trump has brought back mercantilism, long dead and discredited. Up go the trade barriers. Our once friendly trading partners are all depicted as evil characters preying on a gullible, weak and helpless America. Now we are falsely depicted as the weakling with no manufacturing, making nothing ourselves and being dependent upon dishonest trading partners who take advantage of us. A trade deficit is now somehow a threat to national security. So in order to make America great again we must severely limit the amount of goods flowing into the country while maximizing the outflow. Mercantilism lives! Yet mercantilism is based on a zero sum world. What one gains is equal to another’s loss. Americans should know better. Look at the wealth that market capitalism has produced. Market capitalism has lifted billions from poverty including my people in America. Find another people that one day wake up and find that they are free, but have pitifully few positions, most have little skills and none have even a last name. Yet today are mostly so well off that their poor would be rich in much of the world. Look at our relatives in the Congo. Look at those in Sudan. Whine all you want about white supremacy but the evidence is that white supremacists are a bunch of incompetent yahoos. Find me a mass of people flourishing under socialism if socialism is superior to capitalism. How many people have they extracted from poverty? China have succeeded somewhat but is still a failure. Only a demagogue would preach that China is a success story and only a delusional person or a fool would believe it. Our economy is 50 percent larger than China with its 1.5 billion people and we receive most of the world’s direct foreign investment. Why isn’t that money flowing to China? Investors aren’t all crazy.

All the while, we will keep spending money like it is a free good. We have so little fiscal integrity that a $9 billion recission in a $7 trillion budget is treated like winning the World Series. Congress has no shame. Trump has been economically reckless and blames others for his failures. The Federal Reserve is a convenient scapegoat but it is really really hard to conduct rational monetary policy in an environment of irrational and irresponsible fiscal policy. Trump wants there to be no adults in the room and force the Fed to bend to his wishes. Trump wants to run roughshod over the Fed like he has run roughshod over us and the world. He has Congress cowering, except for those from Kentucky. He rants and rails at the Fed because they are the only real line of resistance to his ambitions, other than the courts. I find it interesting hearing those who yelled at the Fed for accommodating Biden now yelling at the Fed to accommodate Trump. Do you really want the Fed to cut the Fed funds rate to 1 percent like Trump is demanding? Do you really think that making Americans pay more for goods while foreigners pay less is really a rational policy? Do you think the seemingly haphazard imposing of random tariffs on 193 countries and a few Artic islands is good policy? And why is Russia’s tariff zero? Even the Ukraine has a 10 percent tariff. The bottom line is that Trump wants to keep spending. He wants the Fed to pay his bills. And this is the route to economic prosperity and economic stability? I don’t think so.

Regardless of this mess, at their core we Americans know better. We know that trade is mutually beneficial else it would not take place. We know that most public schools stink so we are forcing the education system to change. We know that most immigration is beneficial so we want a rational system to oversee it. We are all capitalists at heart. We love our freedoms. Few of us want to impose them on others. We know better than any bureaucrat and government what is best for us and our children. We know private property is a main component of economic freedom and we defend it. Despite all the social and economic nonsense that have come out of the previous two administrations we know that we can do so much better. We are Americans and we will overcome.

Vince Ginn in National Review has 20 things that will make America great again. Here is the to Econ 101: A Compass for a Lost Country

Econ 101: A Compass for a Lost Country

Trump’s rant

I was going to write on Trump’s thinking that he can take over the electoral process in the states when I read a much better explanation by Jeffrey Belhar, who is turning out to be one of my favorite reads has an article in National Review with the longest Trump rant of all time. Here is some of the article but it is available at

https://www.nationalreview.com/carnival-of-fools/donald-trump-cannot-federalize-election-law-via-executive-order/

Here is the presidential rant:

I’m going to lead a movement to get rid of MAIL-IN BALLOTS, and also, while we’re at it, Highly “Inaccurate,” Very Expensive and Seriously Controversial VOTING MACHINES, which cost ten Times more than accurate and sophisticated Watermark Paper, which is faster, and leaves NO DOUBT, at the end of the evening, as to who WON, and who LOST, the Election. We are now the only Country in the World that uses Mail-In Voting. All others gave it up because of the MASSIVE VOTER FRAUD ENCOUNTERED. WE WILL BEGIN THIS EFFORT, WHICH WILL BE STRONGLY OPPOSED BY THE DEMOCRATS BECAUSE THEY CHEAT AT LEVELS NEVER SEEN BEFORE, by signing an EXECUTIVE ORDER to help bring HONESTY to the 2026 Midterm Elections. Remember, the States are merely an “agent” for the Federal Government in counting and tabulating the votes. They must do what the Federal Government, as represented by the President of the United States, tells them, FOR THE GOOD OF OUR COUNTRY, to do. With their HORRIBLE Radical Left policies, like Open Borders, Men Playing in Women’s Sports, Transgender and “WOKE” for everyone, and so much more, Democrats are virtually Unelectable without using this completely disproven Mail-in SCAM. ELECTIONS CAN NEVER BE HONEST WITH MAIL IN BALLOTS/VOTING, and everybody, IN PARTICULAR THE DEMOCRATS, KNOWS THIS. I, AND THE REPUBLICAN PARTY, WILL FIGHT LIKE HELL TO BRING HONESTY AND INTEGRITY BACK TO OUR ELECTIONS. THE MAIL-IN BALLOT HOAX, USING VOTING MACHINES THAT ARE A COMPLETE AND TOTAL DISASTER, MUST END, NOW!!! REMEMBER, WITHOUT FAIR AND HONEST ELECTIONS, AND STRONG AND POWERFUL BORDERS, YOU DON’T EVEN HAVE A SEMBLANCE OF A COUNTRY. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER!!! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.

Belhar continues: “I feel utterly exhausted by all of the shouting. Trump’s punctuation has begun to resemble that of a cut-and-paste ransom note.” (I wish I had said that).

Trump announced that an executive order would indeed be forthcoming, promising “an executive order that’s being written by the best lawyers right now to end mail-in ballots.”

Fools are now arguing about whether mail-in ballots are a good thing or a bad thing. (My position: They are a thing, you cannot wish them away, so deal with them properly) But since I am not a fool, and can read Article I Section 4 of the U.S. Constitution as well as you can, I know that none of these changes can be commanded via executive order. The Constitution spells it out quite clearly: “The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof; but the Congress may at any time by Law make or alter such Regulations, except as to the place of chusing Senators.” Under the Constitution, Congress may play a role in setting federal election laws, but the states usually take the lead. The executive branch plays no role in this whatsoever.

(By the way, “chusing” is an actual spelling in the Constitution and is the equivalent of “choosing”.)

Is Lisa Cook really Cooked?

Is there any doubt that Trump has his minions out there searching for any dirt on his enemies or those who don’t kiss his ring? The latest is the case of Lisa Cook who is being investigated for mortgage fraud. Cook’s case like those of Letitia James and Adam Schiff has been referred to the “Justice” Department where Pam (Blondie) Bondi has Trump sycophant Ed Martin leading the investigation of the three. You may recall that Martin was supposed to be US Attorney for the District of Columbia but couldn’t even get enough republican senators to support his nomination. The Five’s Jeanine Pirro now has that job. Martin was gifted the job of DOJ pardon attorney – whatever that is. It seems that his main duty is to pursue Trump’s enemies like Schiff and James.

Cook’s records were unearthed by William Pulte head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency which oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Pulte tweets that “Ms. Cook appears to have “falsified bank documents and property records to acquire more favorable loan terms, potentially committing mortgage fraud under criminal statute.” The Wall Street Journal reported that Pulte then went full attack dog by tweeting that “the President has great cause to fire Lisa Cook” and mused that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell might “be complicit with Cook’s alleged fraud.” He reiterated his insinuations that Mr. Powell is covering up Ms. Cook’s alleged fraud in a CNBC interview.” For some of us the attempt to link Powell to Cook strains credulity but is clearly an effort to push both of them off the Fed board.

There are some that have already branded Cook of being guilty of mortgage fraud and should resign from the board. Trump can only fire her for cause and there are some legal experts that question whether this rises to that charge. I am not a lawyers so I won’t speculate. However, I just caution to wait until all the evidence is in. Remember all of you insisting that Cook resign that Donald Trump was indicted and convicted of mortgage fraud by a New York court. The verdict found that Trump and his Trump Organization empire had illegally enriched themselves by defrauding banks as part of a decade-long scheme to secure favorable financing terms for some of his properties. Again I know that many think the charges were “trumped” up but the fact remains that the verdict has not been overturned – but the penalties were reduced. So let’s not prematurely assume either guilt or innocence.

Trump’s folks are salivating at the possibility and are saying that Cook’s resignation is inevitable. Cook says she won’t be bullied. I can’t figure out why her resignation is “inevitable.” If pursued, it will be an interesting case study in whether such an offensive will justify removal “for cause.” Trump clearly cannot fire her. However, she can be impeached by the senate. I wonder why that hasn’t been discussed. Trump’s attack dog in the senate is Bernie Moreno (R-Ohio – Go Bucks!). I am somewhat surprised that Moreno hasn’t started impeachment proceedings against Cook.

In Red State, one article written by someone who calls him/herself “streiff” screams “Cook Is Cooked. Real Estate Fraud Gets a Federal Reserve Governor a Federal Investigation”. The author (streiff) first rehashes charges by vita scrutinizer Christopher Rufo of Cook committing plagiarism and somehow rising to the rank of tenured full professor despite a “thin” vita. Its interesting that those allegations have never been subject to an academic investigation and as an academic, I can guarantee that the academy takes those charges seriously, provided they have merit. Well if “streiff” actually looked at Cook’s vita he/she/it would see that it is anything but thin. In fact, Cook may be the most qualified member of the Fed board.

Then “streiff” (he/she/it) says that if Cook is forced to resign and Powell leaves after his term as chairman ends in May, then “replacing Cook on the Board and Powell as chairman next May would give Trump complete control of U.S. monetary policy, which can then be coordinated with regulatory and trade reforms to boost the U.S. economy.” 

Sorry Mr/Mrs/Ms streiff (he/she/it) but you are wrong. Yes Cook would have to leave but Powell would have to leave the Board as well even though he could remain on the board as a governor. I wonder if Powell will resign once his term as chairman ends. Michael Barr stuck around after he left the post of vice chairman for supervision. The Red State author is assuming that whoever gets nominated to fill Kugler’s seat in January and whoever replaces Powell as chairman will be Trump’s puppets at the Fed. The author (streiff) is also assuming that current Trump appointees Waller and Bowman will also be under Trump’s thumb. However, Waller and Bowman voted with the rest of the Open Market Committee (and Powell) to hold the Fed funds rate steady until the last meeting despite withering criticism from the president. They only changed their votes because they likely wanted Trump to name them to replace Powell. I look for them to revert to independence once Trump names a new chairman. I know the Fed members cherish their independence. I would wager that Trump appointees will do the same.

What would be interesting is if Powell did not resign his board seat when he steps down. That would force Trump to appoint either Waller, Bowman or whoever replaces Kugler as chairman. If I were Powell, that is exactly what I would do and when that person who is already on the Board is confirmed, then I would resign. Take that Trump! By the way, the other Biden appointee is Phil Jefferson an economics professor from Davidson College. Well Dr. Jefferson had better watch out because you can bet that Pulte and Trump’s other attack dogs are trying to dig up dirt on him too.

 

A few thoughts and some humor (I think)

Trump now wants Fed governor Lisa Cook to resign after Housing Finance director Bill Pulte (a new Trump attack dog and Pulte Homes heir) referred Cook to the Justice Department claiming mortgage fraud accusing her of using two different properties as her principal residence in 2021. Can’t these people (Adam Schiff, Letitia James and now Cook) figure out where they live? Trump posted “Cook must resign, now!!!” By the way, Pulte has publicly called for Powell’s resignation for the past few months. I wonder if he wants to be the next Fed chair? Bernie Moreno (R-Ohio – Go Bucks!) also a member of the MAGAverse tweeted “Lisa Cook is cooked and should immediately resign her position at the Federal Reserve. For the benefit of our great Country, I’m hopeful we can get a two for one special and Jay Powell can join her in packing it up.” Moreno probably thinks that Cook is on leave from the hated That Team Up North but she is actually on leave from her faculty position at Michigan State. He term doesn’t end until 2038 but she is likely to return to Michigan State or land some cushy job well before then. I would be stunned if she resigned before Trump leaves office. But Cook is not cooked. The allegations occurred prior to her joining the Fed Board and seeking to remove her for “cause” would fail. But nice try guys. Want to bet if she can be intimidated to vote for lowering the Fed funds rate?

There is a report published in Science that says that people who stopped eating ultraprocessed foods lost twice the weight as those who did not. “When given nutritionally matched diets, participants lost twice as much weight eating minimally processed foods compared to ultra-processed foods.” Ok so what do you do for those of us who never eat “ultra” processed foods. How do we lose weight? I read labels. My cereals do not have corn sugar or salt. My broths are low sodium. I never eat fast food. I do not eat junk. I have eschewed ice cream and candy. The only fried food I eat is an occasional piece of Publix’s chicken. I do all the cooking in my house. Even the few cans I buy do not contain anything I cannot pronounce. How do I lose 20 pounds in a controlled healthy way? I asked my doctor once and she told me that everything she could recommend I was already doing. Thanks doc.

I wrote that Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump have a lot in common. Some of my readers pilloried me for having such temerity. Well Bernie thinks Trump’s suggestion that the US having a stake in Intel and other companies is a wonderful idea. Bernie says “If microchip companies make a profit from the generous grants they receive from the federal government, the taxpayers of America have a right to a reasonable return on that investment.” Trump is all in on government intervention in private business. Maybe he should make Bernie Secretary of Commerce rather than Howard Lutnick.

I have a reader who says that Trump is too nuanced for me to understand. A real Machiavelli no doubt.

And now a little humor:

One day while at the bank an old lady asked if I could check her balance – so I pushed her over.

I asked a friend the best way to burn fat. He said “barbeque.”

If you drink two glasses of kale juice a day, it will destroy your belly fat and your desire to live too.

My belly fat was preventing me from seeing my shoes, so I bought a pair that was two sizes bigger.

Democrats want to compromise on immigration by agreeing to put a cap on immigrants. Personally I think that they should be allowed to wear any headgear they choose.

If a person from Holland married a Filipino, would their kids be Hollapinos?

ICE arrested a person hiding illegals from who had faked Prague visas. He was cited for caching false Czechs.

What do you call an elderly Hispanic immigrant. A señor citizen.

Why are white prison gangs the scariest? Because they had a fair trial and still ended up in prison.

Do you think Donald Trump would have a different attitude toward migrants if both of his wives weren’t immigrants?

Why do Hispanic illegals never come across the border in threes? Its because of all those no “tres” passing signs.

Where did you get your last name? Well when my great grandfather landed at Ellis Island, he spoke little English and when they asked him his name he said “Amhere.”

Why did the art thief’s van run out of gas as he drove away from the museum? 

Because he had no Monet to buy Degas to make the Van Gogh.

If people evolved from monkeys then why are monkeys still around?

Border patrol apparently does not have a sense of humor. They arrested this guy at the border because when the border patrol said “papers,” the immigrant answered “scissors.”

I don’t understand why Trump closed the borders. Didn’t he say “America first?”

Why is there a “d” in fridge but not in refrigerator?

Who knew what time it was when the first clock was made?

If I could find a country that didn’t take in immigrants, I would move there.

In every relationship there is one person who stacks the dishwasher like a Scandinavian architect and one who stacks it like a racoon on crystal meth.

When asked why don’t I have tattoos. I say “Have you ever seen a bumper sticker on a Ferrari?”

Why do eggs come in flimsy styrofoam cartons and batteries come in a package only a chainsaw can open?

I am fairly certain that the person who put the first r in February also decided how to spell Wednesday.

You know you are old when you spelled a word so wrong that it baffled autocorrect.

Palestinians to South Sudan? A Recipe for Disaster 

It seems like the Israelis are giving serious consideration to taking compete control over Gaza and expelling the Palestinians. Remember Trump had suggested it and I blogged on it as well. Reports are that Libya, South Sudan and Syria have been contacted to take the Palestinians. I presume that these countries would receive significant bribes. I think it is a dumb idea. Why would any country take in a multitude of Palestinians who would in turn start fomenting discord? I know my blog has no influence but it would be better if as I suggested that you distribute them evenly among all the Arab countries except Jordan (which already has three million Palestinians). If the remaining 22 Arab countries took 136,363 Palestinians of the 3 million in Gaza then no country would have an outsized burden. I guess that makes too much sense.

What’s this about sending them to South Sudan? Obviously, the Israelis hate the Palestinians and are trying to condemn them to hell. Are the folks from Gaza subsistence farmers and herders? Is this some type of cruel joke to send them to a country plagued with famine and genocide? Dropping a few million or so people from Gaza into South Sudan is simply asking for trouble. Yet Israeli Deputy Foreign Minister Sharren Haskel recently visited the South Sudanese capital Juba and spoke with government officials. Hey, maybe she was just driving by and stopped in for tea. I really cannot fathom why South Sudan would take the Palestinians except for large personal bribes being paid to the country’s leading officials. 

So why not add to the misery of both the Gazans and the Sudanese? Both are used to fighting each other for food, so it will be a perfect match. There are thousands of refugees from South Sudan in Uganda, Chad, Malawi and Ethiopia. Maybe the Sudanese government says “well there is now plenty of room for the Palestinians now that three million Sudanese are sheltered elsewhere. These refugees are desperately seeking food after cuts in US aid. The Wall Street Journal reports that “At Uganda’s sprawling Kiryandongo refugee settlement, residents who had fled South Sudan attacked the mud-and-tarpaulin shelters of new arrivals from Sudan, stealing food, killing one and injuring almost 100, according to doctors and witnesses.” “During a four-day rampage last month, hundreds of South Sudanese refugees, armed with machetes and sticks, stormed a large, separate compound housing Sudanese newcomers.” South Sudan is obviously no paradise and a forced settlement of Palestinians would only add to the misery of both peoples.

Trump’s cutting off of African food aid is beyond heartless. It is devastating to many parts of the continent. “In May, the U.N. food agency ended food distribution to one million refugees in Uganda due to funding shortfalls, largely from U.S. cuts. The U.N. Refugee Agency said last week it expects to run out of emergency funds for Uganda next month. At that point it will be able to provide only $5 a month in blankets, sanitary pads, soap and other essentials to each refugee—about a third of what’s required, according to the agency.” “Chad, which hosts some 1.2 million Sudanese refugees, is facing a funding gap of nearly $280 million this year, according to the U.N. Refugee Agency. Refugees in the southern African nation of Malawi have been on half-rations since the month after Trump took office earlier this year and began closing down American aid programs.”

And this is where Israel wants to send those from Gaza? You can’t be serious. Israel probably knows that the majority of the Palestinians will not stay in South Sudan and will migrate elsewhere. But initially, they will increase the burden on relief efforts. Yes, I know there was a great deal of abuse in USAID but the cutting off of funds to those starving Sudanese refugees is beyond cruel. The photo above is of malnourished children in an orphanage in Sudan who are fed boiled leaves because there is little other food. There has got to be a special place in hell for those who would cut off food to these suffering people. 

If not for the accident of one’s birth.

Gerrymandering Redux

Ranker lists “The Most Gerrymandered Districts In America”

https://www.ranker.com/list/most-gerrymandered-districts-in-america/eric-vega

Gerrymandering is legal – except by race. By and large the courts stay out of it because the Constitution gives the power to the states. But this Supreme Court will likely rule that racial gerrymandering is also illegal – as they may do in the Louisiana case. Illinois gerrymandered two republicans out of their seats. Look at the map of Illinois district 4 and you can see what they were doing to make that district majority democrat. Would you believe that there were enough republicans in Massachusetts to make that legislature gerrymander to exclude the republicans entirely from their delegation? I really wonder what the House would look like if all states had to construct districts that were compact and contiguous with 761,000 residents? I personally hate districts that cut counties into separate districts.

“The federal judiciary’s position on purely political gerrymandering was clarified in the 2019 Supreme Court case Rucho v. Common Cause. The Court declared that claims of partisan gerrymandering are “non-justiciable political questions,” meaning the issue is outside the authority of federal courts to resolve. The Court argued that the Constitution does not provide a “limited and precise standard” for courts to determine when partisan advantage in redistricting goes too far.”

But what about racial gerrymandering? “While federal courts will not intervene in cases of purely political gerrymandering, the legal landscape changes when race is the predominant factor in drawing district lines. Racial gerrymandering is illegal under federal law, prohibited by the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment and the Voting Rights Act of 1965. These protections are designed to prevent states from drawing maps that dilute the voting power of racial minorities.”

This is why the Louisiana case is so important.

As to the districts, here are a few of the most gerrymandered in the country. My favorite is Maryland District 3.

The Trump-Putin Pact: Part 2

I have come to the conclusion that I am an obvious thinker. Much of what I write appears a bit later in the media and I know that they are not likely reading my blog or Knoxville Focus articles. The latest case was when I mused that Trump’s meeting with Putin could be about China not Ukraine. The Europeans and the Ukrainians were not invited to Alaska. I had wondered why Trump was going so easy on Russia with the tariffs. He has not conjured up his imaginary reciprocal tariffs on Russia, yet he put a 10% tariff on Ukraine. Didn’t he say that if Russia didn’t accept a cease fire that he would put REALLY REALLY BIG TARIFFS on Russia? Well where are they? He’s got 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, 50% tariff on Brazil (what’s that going to do to coffee prices?) and a 39% tariff on Switzerland yet nothing on Russia. Hum. I am surprised that those Russia hoax multitudes haven’t hoped on that one yet.

I actually think that the reason that Trump has gone soft on Russia with the tariffs is the same reason why it was Putin only at the summit in Alaska. He wants an alliance with Russia to counter China. Russia is not our main adversary in the world. China is. Russia is essentially a backward third world country with mineral and oil wealth. It is only a power because of oil, natural gas and nuclear weapons. But it scares the Europeans. Trump can eliminate that threat by aligning with Russia. Trump and Rubio have talked about opening up Russia for business once the war in Ukraine is over. Now wouldn’t that be interesting to have a free trade deal with Russia while imposing tariffs on the rest of the world?

Then there is the counter to China militarily. An alliance would affect Chinese lusting after Upper Manchuria and Siberia. An alliance would free Russia from the grip of the Chinese economically. Russia has been forced to literally beg the Chinese to buy their oil, support them militarily and prop up their economy. The Chinese are not doing this out of the goodness of their hearts. They are doing this to make Russia their vassal. The Russians know this but in today’s world, what can they do about it? They can form an alliance with Donald Trump.

It never made much sense to me that immediately after World War II our allies became our enemies and our enemies became our friends. The German and Japanese armies were among the most barbaric, brutal and sadistic forces in world history. What the Germans inflicted on the Jews and the ethnic peoples of Europe and what the Japanese did to the Chinese were beyond barbaric and cruel. Yet when the fighting ended we embraced those peoples and almost instantly converted the Russians and the Chinese to our enemies. Yes I know that Stalin and Mao were also mass murderers so we likely had little choice if indeed we wanted to forge alliances in Europe and the Far East. But the times they are a’changing. Europe is in serious decline and puts up with the US only because they refuse to adequately defend themselves against the Russians. Why spend their money when they have us with our hundreds of bases and thousands of troops? Actually, they should welcome a US-Russia alliance because it would remove the threat of Russian military action against NATO.

It is obvious that Trump (and Vance) have no respect for the Europeans. When I wrote the piece “Bye Bye Europe” in the Knoxville Focus on May 17^th, some readers accused me of being a racist. Yet those critics never addressed what I wrote in the article – that Europe was in a state of decline and was being supplanted by countries outside that continent. I stated that the EU when first formed had GDP equal to the US. Now it is 60% of ours. The Europeans have decided to become poorer by embracing green energy. The have opened their countries to a massive influx of immigrants who refuse to be assimilated into the various European cultures. They are weighted down by social spending that stifles incentives. Europeans want to work less, produce less and complain more. Again, the future belongs elsewhere. But where?

Personally I would look to have alliances with those countries with the strongest economic freedom because economic freedom is the backbone of capitalism. Yet those countries are few and far between. In the interim there is Russia with its energy stores and rare earth mineral riches. A pact with Russia will get them free of the yoke of China, would actually lessen their threat to Europe and would contain China globally. What is there not to like?

Again this is obvious to me and like clockwork an article surfaced in Fox Business that makes the same points. It is “Trump’s Russia play isn’t about Ukraine, it’s about China” by Tanvi Ratna, August 17^th https://www.foxbusiness.com/fox-news-opinion/trumps-russia-play-isnt-about-ukraine-its-about-china

Ratna, who is an expert in these matters in contrast to me, concludes “Trump has already recast U.S. foreign policy around the China challenge. His Russia play is part of that same framework. The Alaska meeting is best understood not as a betrayal of Ukraine or a gift to Putin, but as a strategic bid to reshape the board so the U.S. can fight — and win — the contest that truly matters.” Of course, that is the contest with China.

Importantly, a US-Russia partnership would break up the axis of evil: the alliance of Russia, China, Iran and North Korea.

Lastly, Zelenskyy would be a fool if he believes that Trump will provide security guarantees for surrendering the Donbas to Putin. Ukraine would lose its line of defense against the Russians in the east and would lose a vast amount of its mineral wealth. Putin might agree to the guarantee but he will violate it at his earliest convenience. Didn’t we give Ukraine a “guarantee” if they gave up their nukes? Some guarantee that was. Do you think Russia would have invaded if Ukraine still had nuclear weapons? Here is an idea for you: we will give Ukraine tactical nukes if they cede the Donbas. Then they can provide their own “guarantee.” I would also insist that Ukraine join NATO. But one thing is for sure: I would not trust the United States and I sure as hell would not trust Donald Trump.

More on the BLS debacle

(Or the perils of shooting off at the mouth before considering the facts)

The President’s pick of A. J. Antoni to head the Bureau of Labor Statistics to jimmy the data to make him always look good is running into criticisms from economists at conservative organizations. An economist at the American Enterprise Institute said Antoni’s “work at Heritage has frequently included elementary errors or nonsensical choices that all bias his findings in the same partisan direction.” Oops. Another economist, this one at the American Institute for Economic Research said I’ve been on several programs with him at this point and have been impressed by two things: his inability to understand basic economics and the speed with which he’s gone MAGA.” Double oops. An economist at the Manhattan Institute said in part “Mr. Antoni is unqualified for the labor market data collection and analysis role he was nominated to.” Another Manhattan Institute economist said that Antoni “appeared not to know that the BLS’ measure of import prices did not account for the impact of tariffs.” You can read the article in Axios at https://www.axios.com/2025/08/12/trump-bls-ej-antoni-economists

There were the expected criticisms from the left but those from the right are particularly damning. Who is going to believe anything now coming out of the BLS? Maybe they should just eliminate the “L”.

Now Antoni whose PhD is not from Harvard but is from Northern Illinois University is probably a fine economist. But the question is whether he is a fine statistician with special knowledge of those series reported by the BLS. Apparently not. Let’s hope he is a fast learner. It will be interesting to see how he is treated by both republicans (who are scared of Trump) and by democrats (who all hate Trump) at his senate confirmation hearings. His predecessor Dr McEntarfer was confirmed with only nine “no” votes. If Collins, Murkowski, Tillis, McConnell, Paul and Curtis vote “no” then Antoni will not be confirmed – because of course every democrat will vote against him.

The job numbers are lousy and getting worse. The monthly revisions have lowered the job numbers dramatically each month. May’s went from 144,000 to 19,000. June’s went from 147,000 to 14,000, meaning the average gain over the past three months is now only 35,000. Trump fired the BLS director for reporting the July jobs number at 73,000. Note that he fired her for the numbers reported looking so dismal. Wait until he sees the revision. What is the real number? We will have another Trump hissy fit? Also recall that most all of the growth has been in state and local government jobs. Note: My cousin who was fired as a probationary employee at Oak Ridge landed a job with a county government in Georgia. He is in the July statistics. I said at the time of the BLS firing that Trump did a really dumb thing. From the looks of the critiques of Antoni, that dumb thing may have just gotten dumber.

I asked an attorney friend if an illegal were entitled to legal representation and subject to due process. He referred me to his legal assistant, Grok AI who says “A person in the U.S. illegally and detained for deportation is entitled to due process under the Fifth and Fourteenth Amendments, which ensure fair treatment and protection against arbitrary government action.” Well I guess that settles that! Thanks Mike. BTW, I thought Grok was a retired NFL tight end.

Random thoughts #66

I just finished the last of my venison. My dog got her last bit of it as well. I give her, like I did all my others, raw venison mixed with her kibble. The last time I ran out I substituted very lean ground beef and she wouldn’t eat it. I  had not bought beef in a couple of years and when I saw the grocery prices, I was stunned. $6.50 a pound! There was no avian flu in cattle so why are the prices this high? Is the US cattle herd shrinking. Shouldn’t we import more beef from Canada and Mexico and waive the tariffs? Surely this qualifies as a national emergency.

I was watching a Toronto Blue Jays versus Chicago Cubs game from Toronto and one of the advertisements said “Pizza Nova, 100% Canadian Owned and Operated.” Think that’s a result of Trump’s war on Canada?

I wonder what was the reception by the Canadian fans to the playing of the US National Anthem? I know that the anthem was booed earlier at hockey matches.

I know Canadians are boycotting American products so I was wondering what consumer products from Canada are imported into America besides Canadian bacon and Canada Dry? And what’s with Canadian “bacon” anyway?

I wish we would put a 1,000% tariff on Canadian geese.

Trump wants Intel to fire its CEO who he thinks is too cozy with China. Does Trump wants to be CEO of Intel too?

He also wants Goldman to fire its chief economist because he doesn’t like what the economist has said about Trump’s (illegal) tariffs. Trump as chief economist? 

Trump’s family’s crypto empire has generated $1.5 billion since the election. Just imagine what the real number is if indeed Don Jr is getting kickbacks from the tariff shakedowns.

Trump has now got his guy to head the Bureau of Labor Statistics, E. J. Antoni from the Heritage Foundation who apparently doesn’t know very much about labor statistics. I bet you could sell tickets to his senate confirmation.

Trump held a press conference with charts produced by Stephen Moore (who should know better) showing how the BLS statistics made him look bad (or is it worse?). Moore’s statistics were immediately critically critiqued by other statisticians. Who to believe? Again it is a lesson in how to lie with statistics. I guarantee you that if Trump wanted Moore to produce charts showing just the opposite then he could have done that too. I have respect for Moore but that respect is wavering.

Are you going to believe the next set of numbers produced by Antoni’s BLS? Want to bet that they make Trump look good? What Antoni needs to do is to firm up the survey responses. Make those surveyed respond or get some new respondents. Hey, just make Trump threaten those who are not responding. He’s good at that.

Trump has taken over DC. Is he now Mayor Trump too?  If crime is the issue I wish he could invent an excuse to take over the policing in Chicago. 

Trump after waging war on the Kennedy Center – didn’t he anoint himself chairman (Chairman Trump) – has decided to take on the Smithsonian. Mind you, the African American museum although wonderful in many ways was hopelessly biased in others. When I visited there some years ago it did not even mention Clarence Thomas. It omitted all the conservative black thinkers throughout our history. It had a decidedly progressive bent and did not tell all our history. I agree that the Smithsonian’s museums present a biased view of our history from the left. It needs balancing but Trump’s ordering the Smithsonian to submit its exhibits for his approval is a bit much. (Chief curator Trump?). Why doesn’t Trump just appoint a panel to view the proposed exhibits? Victor Davis Hanson comes to mind. Does the First Amendment apply to government sponsored enterprises?

Somewhat under the radar is what’s happening at the US Commission on Civil Rights (I was a member of the Tennessee Commission on Civil Rights). The US Commission is a bipartisan board with eight members, four appointed by the president, two by the President Pro Tempore of the Senate and two by the Speaker of the House of Representatives. No more than four Commissioners can be of the same political party. With the concurrence of a majority of the commission’s members, the President designates a chair and a Vice Chair. The staff director is also appointed by the President with the concurrence of a majority of the Commissioners. Well Trump has designated Commissioner Peter Kirsanow (term ends in December) to be the new chairman and Commissioner Stephen Gilchrist (term ends in November) from South Carolina to be the vice chair. They are already on the commission and both are black republicans. Trump has also designated Carissa Mulder to be the new staff director of the commission. But none of this has taken place because the commission itself must approve Mulder, Kirsanow and Gilchrist and the current chairman Rochelle Garza has refused to have a meeting where the approvals would have taken place. Will she schedule a meeting in September and if not what can Trump do about it? Her term as a commissioner doesn’t end until 2028. Stay tuned.

Random thoughts and wild speculations

Mortgage rates fell last week. I thought the Fed left rates unchanged? What’s up with that? A 30-year fixed rate mortgage is at 6.58%, it’s lowest level since October 2024. A 15-year fixed is at 5.83%. So if the Fed didn’t lower rates, then how can this miracle occur? Its because the mortgage rates are more influenced by long term Treasurys than by the short term Fed funds rate and the poor jobs numbers were met will falling bond yields. Hence, lower mortgage rates. ATTENTION: The Fed doesn’t “control” interest rates. Markets do. If those mortgage rates look attractive to you then you had better move fast. The inflation numbers are starting to come in and they show prices going up. Fears of inflation will cause bond yields to go up. So refinance now!

Two republican senators, Grassley of Iowa and Curtis of Utah have been captured by the wind industry. Do you mean that wind bags are in cahoots with windmills? So it seems. Both Grassley and Curtis have put a hold on some of Trump’s nominees because they want to protect tax credits for wind projects that have been authorized but not funded. Apparently these sweetheart projects are in Iowa and Utah. Grassley and Curtis obviously have no shame.

The Trump’s administration rollback of the fleet milage standards with a penalty of zero has ended the fuel credit gravy train subsidizing EV manufacturers. Just in case you had forgotten, the EV companies get millions of dollars from fuel credits paid by the automobile companies.  Auto manufacturers are required to produce a certain number of so-called zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs). These carmakers are required to have a certain amount of regulatory credits each year. If they can’t meet the target, they have to buy them from companies that have excess credits. Since Tesla, Rivian and Lucid only make electric vehicles, they always have excess regulatory credits and sell them to the other car makers. Because Trump ended the EV penalty, Rivian says it will cost them $100 million in lost “revenue”. Lucid has only said that it will suffer a significant lost. Tesla has said that it expects to “lose” about $1.2 billion from the loss of “revenue” from selling the credits to other car companies. Mind you, the car companies have been losing billions on making EVs and that loss has been compounded by their not being able to sell enough vehicles to get out of having to pay Elon Musk, et. al. even more money. Even at that Rivian reports losing $39,000 per vehicle which is significantly down from losing over $100,000 per vehicle two years ago. Lucid loses $300,000 per vehicle. Rivian now expects an overall loss of $2.5 billion for the year.

Reports are that on average 22 percent of the tariffs have been passed on to consumers. Projections are that number will soon be 67 percent. Some of this has caused the producer price index to rise in the past month. The annual rate is 3.3 percent and rising. More troubling is that a good deal of the rise is in services and not in goods. This is a bad sign. It also means that the Fed, which was widely expected to cut the Fed funds rate by 50 basis points, may now cut 25 basis points if at all. See Trump go even more out of his mind – if that is possible. Also troubling is that prices are going up faster than wages meaning a decline in real wage growth. A lot of people voted for Trump because of Biden’s inflation and now if his policies continue the republicans will pay the price for Trump’s tariffs at the midterms.

Since Trump is getting rid of the temporary protected status, 259,000 Ukrainians are in danger of being deported. I previously mention the same was true for the Afghans who fled here under that program. Are we sending these people back? I know some progressives who would say “well he is sending the Haitians back, so why not some white or semi-white folk too?”

By the way, when did white cease being a color? Saying “people of color” excludes white people. At the Westminster Dog show the categories of cocker spaniels are black, black and tan, parti-color (two or more colors one of which must be white) and ASCOB (any color other than black). Maybe we ought to do the same and have a ASCOW category.

I previously wrote about Trump shaking down countries and companies. Now he was a piece of Intel. Not content in trying to oust their CEO, now the government wants a financial stake in the company. Good grief. Why doesn’t Trump just get Taiwan Semiconductor to move all its operations here in exchange for us guaranteeing total protection of the island.

Speaking of Taiwan, I also mentioned that China could be doing a rope-a-dope and actually has its sights on Upper Manchuria and Siberia. It makes infinitely more sense to put 100,000 troops on the border and walk into those countries rather than trying to negotiate the 100 miles of the Taiwan Strait. Do you think that China might be worried that in the Trump-Putin only talks that the fate of Siberia might be discussed. I have wonder why Trump has been soft on Russia. It has imposed punitive tariffs on our one allies and all of the world save Russia. Trump has been putting tariffs on Russia’s trading partners – like India – but not on Russia itself. He has been saying that if Russia doesn’t agree to a truce on Ukraine that he will be REALLY REALLY MAD and will hit them with REALLY REALLY BIG TARIFFS! So he is going to negotiate a true without Ukraine being in the room? Shades of Neville Chamberlain. Does this mean that if the Ukraine doesn’t agree to whatever truce is negotiated in their absence that he will impose REALLY REALLY BIG TARIFFS on Ukraine. JD Vance has already said that the US may stop shipping arms to Zelenskyy via Europe. Of course Trump doesn’t like Zelenskyy in the first place and even less when he said that no cease fire can exist if Ukraine has to cede territory to Russia.

Again way back when I wondered why Russia would invade Ukraine. It is obvious – at least to me – that it was to capture the vast riches of the country especially its oil and rare earth minerals. The territory that the Russians are demanding as a condition of a cease fire, the Donetsk Oblast, is sitting astride $5.7 trillion in rare earth minerals.

Trump said that he was meeting Putin in Russia. “You know, I’m going to see Putin. I’m going to Russia on Friday.” If Biden had said that, the MAGAs would have been loudly questioning his mental acuity. Not so with Trump. Now consider that Trump negotiates a “truce” totally unacceptable to Ukraine and ceases furnishing weapons, leaving it all up to the Europeans who are also excluded from the talk. if Trump makes an alliance with Putin, then the Chinese will be upset because of the possibility that the US would also aid Russia in repelling any Chinese aggression in Siberia and Manchuria. Also the Europeans would be left out to dry. The only reason the Europeans pay any respect to the Americans is that we keep the Russians at bay and pay for the privilege of defending them.. A Putin-Trump alliance would devastate Europe even more that the ridiculous 39% tariff on Switzerland. Vance went over there and chided the Europeans about their behavior. Trump has shown distain for virtually every European leader except Italy’s Meloni, Hungary’s Orban and Poland’s Duda.

So there are obvious benefits with an alliance for the Russians but what about for the United States. Little was said about the talks that Marco Rubio had with his Russian counterparts in London. But Rubio talked about the “extraordinary opportunities,” economic and geopolitical, that the United States and Russia could both seize once the war in Ukraine was over.” Trump also said that he was “trying to do some economic development deals” with Moscow. Russia was once a place to do business, despite all the pitfalls, mainly because of its energy sector. However, America is now the major competitor in the world with Russian energy. Trump is talking about “economic development deals”. Will that be enough for a Putin-Trump pact? I don’t know but I do know that such a deal would only last while both are in office. Just like Trump’s handshake deals with companies and countries, once he is gone all that goes away. I also can guarantee that Trump’s dominance also goes away once he leaves office. But a Putin-Trump alliance would really be interesting. Wouldn’t it?