Will Black Voters Save the Democratic Party?
Wouldn’t it be ironic if black voters end up saving the democratic party. The same party that once held them in chains. The party of Jim Crow. The party of the segregationist South. Now that party is running scared — chased by a wave of democratic socialists threatening to overrun the establishment. The DSA’s strength is mostly confined to a few deep-blue enclaves, but they’re swinging for something bigger now: a Senate seat in Michigan. The candidate, Abdul El-Sayed, calls himself a progressive, not a socialist. His platform says otherwise.
The pattern is already clear. Every time a socialist has squared off against an establishment democrat, black voters have overwhelmingly rejected the socialist. In Michigan, the establishment candidate won the black vote by more than 30 points. Same story in New York’s congressional races and in the Wisconsin governor’s race. So the real question isn’t whether black voters back El-Sayed — it’s whether they even show up. A progressive friend of mine thinks they will. He says El-Sayed is working black churches hard, preaching his gospel. Maybe but I don’t buy it. Most black voters are practicing Christians. White socialists aren’t. That gap doesn’t close with a few church visits. Black voters don’t want the police defunded. They don’t want prisons shut down. They don’t want open borders dumping newcomers into their neighborhoods and their labor markets. They support school vouchers; the left doesn’t. They won’t vote republican either. My bet: they sit this one out and El-Sayed’s numbers barely move past his primary total.
The socialists have a diversity problem. Blacks know it and no amount of rhetoric hides it. They claim to speak for the working class and for minorities. Their membership tells a different story: DSA is roughly 80 percent white, college-educated, and earning under $60,000 a year. These are the same people lecturing everyone else about “white privilege” while trying to court the black vote. Black voters have rejected white far-left candidates before, and decisively. Ask Bernie Sanders. South Carolina buried his campaign when black voters lined up behind Biden instead.
One observer nailed it: young, white, college-educated socialists can afford their extreme positions. They don’t live on blocks screaming for more police, not fewer. They don’t need a voucher to escape a failing school. They don’t feel what weak border enforcement does to wages and public services. If the revolution flops, they retreat to the suburbs. Black Democrats don’t get that option. They live with the results.
Black voters don’t trust the socialists. The talk about uplifting the working class, centering race and equity, all of it — Black voters have heard it before and know pie-in-the-sky BS when they hear it. Malcolm X said it best: white liberals can be more dangerous than white conservatives, claiming to be allies while working to manipulate the very people they say they’re helping.
Now the DSA shows up bearing gifts. My progressive friend still thinks black voters take the bait. I don’t. I’ve bet him a dollar on it — payable November 4th. If I win, the message to the democratic party is unmistakable: the socialists just kicked out one leg of the four-legged stool propping up the democrat party. White college graduates. Coastal elites. Labor unions. Ethnic minorities. Lose black voters and democrats lose one of their most reliable constituencies and the math stops working, potentially leaving them without enough votes to win most elections, and certainly not national ones. Then the party’s only path back to national power would be to shed its socialist wing and/or hope the republicans hand them a big enough unforced error to run against. Hum.



